Are "Out" and "Doubtful" injury tags ever wrong?
Almost never — players tagged Out miss the game 99.9% of the time and Doubtful players 99.6% of the time. Out is essentially a certainty; roughly 0.1% of Out-tagged players still somehow suit up.
Check a player's current injury status in Player Props
The evidence
How often the tag matches the outcome
| Tag | Miss rate | Plays anyway | Tagged player-weeks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Out | 99.9% | 0.1% | 5460 |
| Doubtful | 99.6% | 0.4% | 778 |
How this was measured
Every 2021-2025 Out or Doubtful game-status tag, cross-referenced against whether that player actually appeared in that week's own stat line.
Sample size: 6,238 tagged player-weeks. Last verified 2026-09-27.
What this doesn't tell you
A player who "plays anyway" after an Out or Doubtful tag is usually a very limited, situational snap or two, not a full workload — this number measures whether he appears in the box score at all, not whether he was actually a normal, usable player that week.
Related questions
This is a place to look, not a bet to make — every figure here describes the past, not a specific upcoming game.